Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.634063 1.879977 2.141858 2.440585 2.770961 3.124227 3.529576
2025-02-09 1.179166 1.516576 1.906508 2.385990 2.955036 3.604087 4.395387
2025-02-16 0.869611 1.243237 1.708986 2.321242 3.093084 4.021705 5.210219
2025-02-23 0.685298 1.079285 1.604812 2.336574 3.306725 4.525529 6.146523
2025-03-02 0.535035 0.926384 1.483354 2.301378 3.436214 4.917132 6.952922
2025-03-09 0.439410 0.830119 1.419611 2.326711 3.634694 5.396532 7.884994
2025-03-16 0.356479 0.735208 1.340479 2.314428 3.770585 5.790025 8.713172
2025-03-23 0.313631 0.697123 1.340253 2.413567 4.065447 6.409495 9.867813
2025-03-30 0.274025 0.656236 1.328142 2.489311 4.325734 6.987691 10.984310
2025-04-06 0.224329 0.585471 1.255099 2.457859 4.417159 7.322699 11.766604
2025-04-13 0.192851 0.543920 1.226291 2.493518 4.610367 7.810112 12.779832
2025-04-20 0.164190 0.501688 1.189741 2.510475 4.771464 8.252640 13.739488
2025-04-27 0.140424 0.466179 1.163258 2.546040 4.970752 8.771164 14.846196
2025-05-04 0.115957 0.422655 1.114946 2.537777 5.097069 9.184133 15.813814
2025-05-11 0.092550 0.374596 1.049528 2.490212 5.151872 9.485686 16.622337
2025-05-18 0.078227 0.347208 1.023972 2.515220 5.331861 9.991289 17.758355
2025-05-25 0.062818 0.310850 0.971938 2.481666 5.403889 10.322675 18.631624
2025-06-01 0.053265 0.289835 0.952076 2.510148 5.587159 10.840099 19.808986
2025-06-08 0.043428 0.263601 0.914789 2.497801 5.692878 11.230609 20.794227
2025-06-15 0.039625 0.259033 0.932041 2.603309 6.024097 12.010605 22.424357
2025-06-22 0.035319 0.250664 0.937882 2.683790 6.310822 12.723223 23.962814
2025-06-29 0.028153 0.225985 0.894839 2.650486 6.375220 13.055147 24.888365
2025-07-06 0.024030 0.213366 0.883606 2.688334 6.579778 13.635410 26.235297